Capital markets / Project finance

    Projects stall at debt sizing, not at equity.

    Limited-recourse debt for energy, infrastructure and contracted-revenue assets — sized against a model a lender's technical adviser can take apart and still agree with.

    Project finance is limited-recourse debt raised against the contracted cash flows of a single asset or project company rather than a sponsor's balance sheet. Zenith builds the financial model, tests bankability against lender criteria, structures the debt around DSCR and risk allocation, and runs the process through to financial close.

    Who this is for

    Developers at financial close

    Sponsors moving a project from development into construction and needing the debt sized, structured and committed.

    Emerging-technology projects

    First-of-a-kind and early-commercial assets where the technology risk has to be made legible rather than argued away.

    Operating asset owners

    Owners refinancing construction debt into long-term facilities or releasing equity from a performing asset.

    Industrial off-takers

    Counterparties whose contract has to be shaped into something a lender will underwrite as revenue.

    Parameters

    Indicative ranges. Every mandate is sized on its own facts.
    ParameterRange
    Project sizeUSD 100m – 600m+
    Tenor7 – 18 years
    StructuresSenior / subordinated / mezzanine, ECA-covered, vendor finance
    Gearing60 – 80% debt, technology and contract dependent
    DSCR1.20x – 1.45x base case
    Indicative timeline6 – 18 months from mandate to financial close

    Commercial model

    A retainer through bankability and structuring, where most of the work sits, and a success fee at financial close. Pre-bankability work is priced as a fixed scope — it is considerably cheaper than a failed process.

    How it works

    Three phases. The desk stays open after the first close.

    Phase

    Bankability

    • Contract review: offtake, EPC, O&M, fuel and grid
    • Financial model, base case and sculpted debt profile
    • Debt sizing against DSCR and lender sensitivities
    • Risk allocation map with the gaps named, not smoothed

    Phase

    Arrangement

    • Lender, ECA and DFI shortlist by mandate and country appetite
    • Information memorandum and technical annexes
    • Technical, legal, insurance and market adviser coordination
    • Vendor finance and ECA cover structured in, not bolted on

    Phase

    Financial close

    • Term sheet, credit approval and hedging strategy
    • Facility and security documentation
    • Conditions precedent tracking to satisfaction
    • Drawdown mechanics and construction-phase reporting

    Sectors

    What this service means in the sectors where Zenith runs it.

    Infrastructure and energy

    Limited-recourse debt sized to DSCR against contracted revenue. Most projects stall at debt sizing rather than at equity, and that is a bankability problem, not a marketing one.

    1 mandateInfrastructure and energy

    Sector page

    Industrials and materials

    Plant and processing facilities financed on offtake and cost-curve position, with commodity scenarios run as a matrix rather than one variable at a time.

    2 mandatesIndustrials and materials

    Sector page

    Real assets and shipping

    Asset-level facilities against charters, leases and long-term utilisation contracts, with the residual-value assumption tested before a lender tests it.

    Sector page

    Selected transactions

    Tagged to this service.

    USD 553,000,000

    total project cost

    Restructuring the funding plan for a three-phase integrated steel build

    Phased project finance — senior, subordinated, mezzanine and vendor debt against a brownfield revival and capacity expansion to 1.84 MTPA

    Sector
    Industrials and materials
    Geography
    West Africa
    Role
    Financial modelling lead
    Counterparty
    Sovereign equity participant · international project lenders · export credit agencies
    Status
    Advised

    Debt structuring for a green hydrogen and ammonia production programme

    Project finance debt sizing, sculpting and DSCR covenant design for a Gulf hydrogen and ammonia programme

    Sector
    Infrastructure and energy
    Geography
    MENA
    Role
    Financial modelling lead
    Counterparty
    Status
    Advised

    A pre-bankability model and funding framework for a greenfield tin smelter

    Project finance model and funding framework for a greenfield tin smelting facility

    Sector
    Industrials and materials
    Geography
    West Africa
    Role
    Financial modelling lead
    Counterparty
    Status
    Advised

    Questions we are asked

    What actually kills a project financing?

    Unallocated risk. A gap between the offtake contract and the construction contract shows up as a lender condition nobody can satisfy, and it surfaces late — after the advisers are appointed and the timetable is public.

    Can a first-of-a-kind project be financed?

    Yes, but not on the same terms as proven technology. Lenders size down, require completion support or an ECA wrap, and test the technology case through an independent engineer. The work is making the uncertainty legible rather than arguing it away.

    Will lenders finance merchant exposure?

    Partly. Merchant revenue reduces the debt a lender will size, so structures usually blend contracted and merchant volumes with lower gearing and a stronger DSCR floor.

    How does ECA cover change the economics?

    It extends tenor and lowers pricing in exchange for sourcing requirements and a premium. On emerging-market projects it is often the difference between a bankable structure and no structure at all, which makes it a design decision, not a fallback.

    When should we start talking to lenders?

    Once the offtake is signed or near-final and the model can survive a technical adviser. Approaching earlier burns credibility with exactly the desks the project will need later.

    Do you replace the sponsor's internal team?

    No. Zenith runs the debt workstream and the model, and coordinates the adviser set. The sponsor keeps the development and the relationships.

    Start with the structure, not the pitch.

    Tell us the transaction and the timetable. If it is not something we should run, we will say so.